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NAFEM, parallel market, and what moves the naira — in one place.
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Friday, 15 May 2026
Naira Steadies on Record NAFEM Turnover; Brent Surge Supports Oil Revenue
NGN/USD closed NAFEM at ₦1,370.56, with the parallel market at ₦1,396.83—a ₦26 spread that reflects tight liquidity despite yesterday's record $1.89bn single-day turnover. The naira's resilience points to sustained dollar inflows, likely driven by oil receipts and remittances, though the parallel-market premium still signals persistent cash scarcity at the official window.
Brent crude surged 3.49% to $107.85/bbl, a significant move that reinforces Nigeria's oil-export advantage and should boost CBN dollar reserves in coming days; higher crude is naira-supportive, reducing pressure on the official window and potentially widening dollar availability for importers.
EUR and GBP both weakened sharply (−1.12% and −1.85% respectively) as the dollar strengthened across the board, while USD/JPY climbed 1.12%, confirming broad-based dollar strength that could have tested NGN harder without today's oil and NAFEM tailwinds.
The DXY jumped 1.27% to 99.18, marking a sharp rally in dollar strength across major pairs—EUR/USD and GBP/USD both fell over 1%—which typically headwinds for emerging currencies like the naira, yet NGN held firm today, suggesting local supply factors are offsetting external USD demand.
The naira is holding its ground thanks to oil gains and robust NAFEM turnover, but the ₦26 parallel spread and DXY's aggressive rally remind us that dollar scarcity persists below the surface; importers and diaspora should watch for any slip in Brent or NAFEM momentum, either of which could widen the gap quickly.
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Panmure Liberum goes back to the future
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